Monday, August 27, 2012

A Prediction of Information Systems and Computer Consciousness


In “Technology's Promise” by William Halal, one of his predictions is related to an “Age of Consciousness” about 2020 similar to the information age of today. Halal expects that the spiritual projections of consciousness will be accepted over the current trend to prove that there are physical roots of human consciousness. Halal presents arguments for both sides. The physical side has ever growing number of technologies in information processing, plus biological and psychological research about the brain and behavior. This research suggests the brain is no more than a computer model. As the technology for processing data continues to evolve, the physical model side predicts that computer processing will catch up to the capability of human processing, and contain a level of awareness likened to a human. These scientists equate the consciousness of the human mind to a creature with the data at high levels of intelligence where data is processed into decisions. These decisions form the basis for behaviors equating to human ‘free will’ and value/belief systems. The spiritual model recognizes a higher form of intelligence beyond the human brain, which transcends the physical, providing discernment capability, ‘free will’ leading behavior selection where values and choice are concerned.

Curiously, the ‘Computer Model’ camp prediction focuses on measured versus subjective analyses. From their perspective, everything can be measured. Their argument for quantification parallels the debate in natural sciences on the use of quantitative and qualitative analyses. Experimental research and problem areas where numbers are prevalent fall nicely into quantitative measures. However, current researchers in social sciences found human behavior and experience are more fitted to qualitative studies. The subject of choice is not so easily defined by genetic inheritance of values and beliefs. While non-human selection on instinct can be measured in this way, due to their predictability, human behavior in choices can have an infinite number of possibilities that no computer can store in a database.

Everyday people can predict on human behavior pattern.  Some of us are very predictable rarely changing how we go about our daily tasks. In down-the-road predictions, Sci-Fi writers offer their insights through their story lines. They use their knowledge of their today and imagine the ‘What if’s’ of the future and alternate environments. Perhaps, not so different from the recognized leading scientist of today, who predict five, 10,  20 years or more into the future. Of course these leading figures typically base their futures on current trends in technologies. Yet, how far are they from writers such as Gene Rodenberry, Star Trek series and movies, describing star travel, and food replicators, or Jules Verne, with undersea stories and around the world adventures before anyone thought they were possible. If one were to look at background of an Asimov or Clarke or Heinlein, their stories are sprinkled with their knowledge and experience of their time. Surprisingly, their images found future reality by the same ratios of our leading scientists and thinkers. The point is that, as discovered with chaos theory, the chances of a prediction about nature, man included, coming true are predicated on many forces, and events, changing the potential outcomes.

Factors that can effect Halal’s prediction of the Spirit Model accepted over the Computer Model of consciousness social, religious, and educational. The social and educational are interwoven. Sherden in “Future Sellers” notes that any prediction should be evaluated by knowledge. In this case Halal provides argument of both sides. To say that beliefs are genetically inherited and that the cells of body created the beliefs plus free will ignores the reality of a simple belief. For example, in the reality of Catholicism, a miracle is not just a body healing itself. Before a miracle is recognized by the Catholic Church a group of lawyers, doctors and other members of a team investigate. Their finds must determine that there is no way physically possible for an illness to be healed by man. Their investigations are very detailed, looking into every possibility, taking a year or more. The social forces in a cultural environment that believes the individual is the center of all things can narrow the scope of investigations. Seems that that man was the center of the universe thought came up once before? 

Human behavior in choices is not the same as animal instinct. Where instinct determines a path, and is predictable, the human can make choices in an instant that were never made before – all based on the circumstances and the environment of the moment. In the educational arena the traditional approach to classroom learning limits the creativity due to the emphasis on measured outcome as opposed to the ability to apply an accumulation of knowledge in a brand new situation. And, finally, data in a computer is mathematical. Fuzzy logic is close enough, but not perfect. Spiritual is recognized as higher order intelligence. Simply put in mathematical terms the spiritual nature encompasses the physical nature. In everyday math the Real number system is subset of complex numbers; in nature, which includes human behavior, the theory of chaos exists. The order seemingly on the surface belies the randomness at different levels.

William E. Halal (2007) Technology’s Promise

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